FIU Future Shorelines Project

Our project uniquely utilizes hyperlocal and most granular data combined with future sea level rise projections to help drive site-specific decisions.

The pilot project uniquely considers sea-level-rise scenarios in living shoreline site selection

Living Shoreline Indian River Lagoon logo

Living Shoreline - Indian River Lagoon

Shoreline suitability assessment tool for the Indian River Lagoon watershed including detailed parcel information and shoreline elevation transects.

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About the Project

How it started

Most, if not all living shoreline site selection and installation design decision support tools are based upon existing conditions. Our project, on the other hand utilizes a unique approach and characterizes future conditions. Once the user selects a location of interest, sea-level rise scenario (e.g., Intermediate High) and target year (e.g., 2050), the tool will provide plan-view and cross-sectional information specific to their selection including upland topography (e.g., DEM, elevation profile and slope) and scenario specific future conditions (e.g., shoreline location, parcel ownership, land use, and demographic data). These outputs can then be used to evaluate shoreline suitability and installation resilience in the context of future sea level conditions.

This project was initially funded by the Environmental Protection Agency Wetland Development Grant (#02D16822) “Enhancing Living Shoreline Suitability Analyses to Optimize Resilience to Future Sea-Level Rise” awarded to Florida International University. The project was carried out in close collaboration between the Institute of Environment and GIS Center with significant input and feedback from project partners and other stakeholders.

Our Team

Who made this possible

Each member brings unique skills and creativity to the table, driving our project forward. Get to know the main faces behind the project.

Who have helped us

Funding

Initial funding was provided by the US Environmental Protection Agency Region 4 under the Wetland Development Program, with in-kind contributions from Florida International University and our project partners.

 

Contact

More details

Methodology

We strive to provide an open and transparent overview of our methodology. Peer-reviewed publications and datasets are also available below.

Sea level rise scenarios

Sea level scenarios we use account for local variations and are extracted from the nearest available tidal station. We adapt the intermediate-low, intermediate, intermediate-high and high scenarios for the years 2030, 2040, 2050 and 2100.

Inundation mapping

We developed a passive inundation mapping approach (also known as a “bathtub” approach) and implemented the model using Free & Open-Source Software. Inundation is modeled above the locally estimated Mean-Higher-High Water (MHHW) surface. For a detailed description of the method, see Juhász, Xu & Parkinson (2023) below.

Elevation data

All vertical datasets are expressed in the NAVD88 orthometric datum. The horizontal coordinate system is UTM 17N / NAD83 (EPSG:26917).

DEM

The elevation model is based on the latest Florida Peninsular LiDAR data collection by the Florida Division of Emergency Management (FDEM) conducted in 2018 – 2020. The original bare-earth project DEMs were downloaded from USGS. Detailed metadata is available here. Individual DEM tiles were mosaiced, reprojected and resampled to a Xm ground resolution that allows computational efficience. Breaklines, connectors, etc. were considered to ensure a hydrologically accurate representation of the surface.

Transects

Perpendicular lines were generated from the current shoreline with 100 ft spacing. The elevation based on the project DEM was sampled at 15 ft intervals so that the elevation profile can be reconstructed.

Supplemental data

Parcels

Parcel boundaries and associated information were extracted from their corresponding county’s Property Appraiser’s office. In another step, ownership categories (Public vs. Private) were identified using a role-based approach. Tax assessed values are representative of year 2022.

Demographic Index (EPA)

We adapt demographic indices from EPA’s Environmental Justice Screening and Mapping Tool (EJScreen).

Web application

Our web mapping application was built from scratch with the user in mind. This allows flexibility to implement custom functionality, such as the dynamic display of elevation transects, on-the-fly, dynamic visualizations and more. The application was designed in a way that allows future development and customizations (e.g. different use-cases and geographic areas).

Publications & Presentations

Science
  • Parkinson, R.W., Juhász, L., Xu, J., Fu, Z.J. (2024). Future Shorelines: A Living Shoreline Site Selection and Design Decision Support Tool that Incorporates Future Conditions Induced by Sea Level Rise. Estuaries and Coasts. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12237-024-01425-9 
  • Parkinson, R.W.; Juhász, L; Fu, Z.J.; Xu, J. (2024). A novel geospatial living shoreline site suitability decision support tool that incorporates future conditions based upon locally derived sea-level rise scenarios. GOMCON 2024 Conference. Tampa, FL (Feb 19-22, 2024).
  • Parkinson, R.W. (2024). Horizontal Rates of Wetland Migration Appear Unlikely to Keep Pace with Shoreline Transgression under Conditions of 21st Century Accelerating Sea Level Rise along the Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern USA. Coasts. 4(1), pp. 213-225. doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/coasts4010012
  • Juhász, L.; Xu, J.; Parkinson, R.W. (2023). Beyond the Tide: A Comprehensive Guide to Sea Level Rise Inundation Mapping using FOSS4G. Geomatics. 3(4), pp. 522-540. doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/geomatics3040028
  • Parkinson, R.W.; Juhász, L.; Fu, Z.J.; Xu, J. (2023). A site suitability tool that models future conditions using locally derived NOAA SLR scenarios. 2023 Living Shorelines Tech Transfer Workshop. Galveston, TX (Oct 24-25, 2023)

Tutorials

Learn how to use our tools

What we have created

Tools & Applications

Living Shoreline Indian River Lagoon logo

Living Shoreline Site Assessment Tool: Indian River Lagoon

The pilot project

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Our partners
Partner namePoint of contactTitle
Brevard CountyBrandon SmithEnvironmental Specialist Save Our Indian River Lagoon Program
Brevard ZooAshley ReardenConservation Curator
FL Department of Environmental ProtectionScott EastmanProgram Administrator
FL Fish and Wildlife CommissionLogan BenedictFWC Climate Change Coordinator
Florida Sea Grant Brevard CountyHolly AbeelsFlorida Sea Grant Extension Agent
Florida Sea Grant Martin/St. Lucie CountyVincent EncominoFlorida Sea Grant Extension Agent
Florida Sea Grant Nature CoastSavanna BerryRegional Specialized Extension Agent
Indian River CountyMelissa MeisenburgLagoon Environmental Specialist
Indian River Lagoon National Estuary ProgramDuane DeFreeseExecutive Director
Marine Discovery CenterChad TruxellExecutive Director
Martin CountyJesica GarlandCoastal Management Division
NOAAKris KaufmanRestoration Center, Office of Habitat Conservation
St. Johns River WMDChuck JacobySupervising Environmental Scientist Estuaries Section
St. Lucie CountyAmy E. GriffinEnvironmental Resources Director
University of Central FloridaMelinda DonnellyAssistant Research Scientist
Volusia CountySamantha WestSustainability and Resilience Manager

FAQs

Helpful Answers

Dive into our FAQ section, where curiosity meets clarity. Find instant answers to your questions and embark on a seamless journey to understanding.
  • How are tidal surfaces determined?

    We recognize local variations in the MHHW surface, especially in estuaries. Instead of adapting a constant MHHW value from the nearest tidal station, we use NOAA’s VDatum tool to sample MHHW values across the study domain and interpolate a varying MHHW surface, that is locally relevant.

  • Is the data available?

    Yes, the data we used to build our solution is available for download in the data section above. Site-specific transects and charts can be downloaded from the application.

  • How are sea-level-rise scenarios and values determined?

    Sea-level-rise values account for local variations, and are extracted from the US Interagency Sea Level Change Tool. The nearest tidal station is:

  • Is it possible to customize the tool for my area and use-case?

    Certainly. The tool was designed in a flexible way that allows adaptations in different geographic regions (where input data is available in sufficient quality) and modified use-cases. Integration of custom data is also possible. Please reach out to learn more.

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